Metal Sector Check - Slowdown Deepens In China: Motilal Oswal

Metal Sector Check - Slowdown Deepens In China: Motilal Oswal

Interior view of a steel factory. (Source: freepik)

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Motilal Oswal Report

The People's Bank of China reduced its five-year loan prime rate to 4.30% from 4.45% (reduction of 15 basis points) and one-year loan prime rate to 3.65% from 3.70% earlier.

This comes after the PBOC reduced its one-year medium-term lending facility interest rate by 10 bps last week in a bid to revive the slowing economy.

Thermal coal price is likely to remain strong over the next six months at least as Europe approaches winter. Drying up of river Rhine, the key transport route for several commodities and companies in Germany will worsen the situation.

Heat wave in China’s Sichuan province will likely lead to lower production of non-ferrous metals while NG crisis in Europe will also lead to a similar action, and demand-supply balance for aluminum and zinc could turn into deficit by end-CY22.

Domestic hot rolled coil price remained stable week-on-week at Rs 57,300/tonne, while primary TMT price decreased marginally to Rs 56,800/tonne.

Spread between primary and secondary TMT has narrowed to Rs 1,000/tonne; it has been narrowing for the last three months post-spike in thermal coal price.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Motilal Oswal Metals Sector Update.pdf
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