IT Q4 Results Preview - Transition Period From ‘Gradually’ To ‘Eventually’: HDFC Securities

IT sector valuations are at 25 times , at ~10% above the five year average (23 times) and 35% above the 10 yar average (18.5 times), ahead of the U.S. election volatility

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HDFC Securities Institutional Equities

IT sector (coverage universe) growth is expected to bottom out in Q4 FY24 and recover ‘gradually’ in FY25E. The slowdown in macro is still a baseline scenario and lower discretionary spending and slower conversion from total contract to revenue is a feature and not a bug—at least in the near term—and deals will be focused on cost optimisation.

Growth divergence will continue within the sector and guidance for FY25E is likely to factor in improved H2 performance.

Maintain our selective stance on the sector—prefer TCS within tier-1s and Persistent Systems from mid-tier IT.

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HDFC Securities Institutional Equities IT - Q4FY24 Results Preview.pdf
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Also Read: IT Q4 Results Preview - Tighter Budgets, Lower Discretionary Spend Key Dampeners: IDBI Capital

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