Cyclone Biparjoy Approaching Mumbai & Konkan? Here's What IMD Has To Say
On June 7, India Meteorological Department mentioned Cyclone Biparjoy will intensify into a very severe cyclonic storm.
June 7 Update: As per the latest update by India Meteorological Department, Cyclone Biparjoy will intensify into a very cyclonic storm by June 8. Cyclone Biparjoy will continue to move northwards with an associated maximum sustained speed of 5 kmph. It would move nearly northwards during next 24 hours and then north-northwestwards during subsequent 3 days
Early tracking shows that the depression will likely move nearly northwards towards Oman coast.
Cyclone Biparjoy Forecast Tracker
The table shows the forecast of Cyclone Biparjoy along with sustained wind speed and category of cyclonic disturbance every 6 hours till June 12.
Cyclone Biparjoy: Route, Live Tracker And Location
The Cyclonic storm will soon intensify into a very severe cyclonic storm with gusting wind speed upto 130 kmph in the next 12 hours.
June 6 Update: As per the latest update by India Meteorological Department, cyclonic storm has now developed over eastcentral Arabian sea at 17:30 IST on June 6. The depression will head nearly northwards and will intensify into a severe cyclonic storm in next 24 hours. The cyclonic storm will now be referred to as Cyclone Biparjoy.
Early tracking shows that the depression will likely move northwards towards Yemen or Oman coast. Tap on the link below to read more about the latest update on Cyclone Biparjoy.
IMD Update on June 5
On June 5, as per the update shared by IMD, a cyclonic circulation is likely to develop over southeast arabian sea around June 5. Subsequently, a low pressure area is likely to form over the same region during the next 48 hours.
As per the press release data by IMD, probability of cyclogenesis, which is a formation of depression is low for the next 5 days. At present, the various systems which predict these cyclonic formations are showing varied results.
The IMD GFS model is indicating development of a depression around June 12 and is indicating genesis over the south-east and close to Kerala coast and further movement towards north Karnataka.
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction for Global Forecast System (GFS) are the two systems which are indicating development of a depression around June 8 and are indicating genesis over southeast & adjoining east central movement.
The National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCUM) is indicating the development of a depression around June 10 and is indicating genesis over west-central close to the Yemen-Oman coasts and may make landfall in Oman.
Considering the variation from different models, probability of a cyclone formation by IMD has been kept low for Day 4 and Day 5 during June 7-9.
What Are The Chances Of A Cyclonic Storm Occurring After June 9?
As per the predictions mentioned above, the system could possibly reach the strength of an Extreme Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) by Friday, June 9. IMD has also mentioned that they are keeping a close watch on the progression of the formation of low-pressure area and will provide daily updates on the prediction and possible occurrence of the cyclonic formation.
These are very early days for prediction of how the low-pressure area will form and its further course of movement and since there are large variations among these models when it comes to predicting the movement of the possible cyclonic formation - it is also likely a cyclonic formation might occur but wont touch India heartland, but places like Mumbai & Konkan might receive moderate to heavy rainfall somewhere around June 10 to 13.