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Gold Edges Higher With Lower Yields as Traders Eye US Rate Path

Gold has still rallied for the last three weeks, drawing haven support from fears of a global recession and heightened US-China tensions.

<div class="paragraphs"><p>A worker pours molten gold into a mold during the casting of gold ingots in the foundry at the Prioksky non-ferrous metals plant in Kasimov, Russia. Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg</p></div>
A worker pours molten gold into a mold during the casting of gold ingots in the foundry at the Prioksky non-ferrous metals plant in Kasimov, Russia. Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg

Gold inched higher as Treasury yields pared their recent surge, with traders temporarily looking beyond the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest-rate hike path. 

Bullion rose as much as 0.8%, rebounding from the worst daily loss in two weeks in the previous session. On Friday, a stronger-than-expected US jobs report added to the case for more Fed monetary tightening, pushing up the dollar and bond yields while crushing gold since it pays no interest and is priced in the greenback.

Gold Edges Higher With Lower Yields as Traders Eye US Rate Path

Still, a bigger rate hike isn’t a done deal, and investors are now waiting for a US inflation report later this week to gauge how hawkish the Fed may be at its September meeting. That allowed a pause for Treasury yields and the dollar, lifting gold prices on Monday.

A hike of 75 basis points at next month’s Fed policy meeting “is far from locked in,” TD Securities commodity strategists led by Bart Melek said in a note. For now, “the yellow metal has been able to hold firm.”

The precious metal has rallied for the last three weeks, as concerns over a global recession and heightened US-China tensions boosted demand for the haven asset.

Holdings of bullion in exchange-traded funds have remained under pressure, however, falling for an an eighth straight week.

Spot gold rose 0.7% to $1,788.38 an ounce as of 1:40 p.m. in New York. Bullion for December delivery gained 0.8% to settle at $1,805.20 on the Comex. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index and the 10-year Treasury yield edged lower. Silver, palladium and platinum all advanced. 

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