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Wholesale Inflation Eases To Over Two-Year Low In February But Food Items Remain Costly

This is the ninth straight month of decline in the rate of wholesale price-index (WPI) based inflation.
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A customer makes a purchase from a vendor in Bengaluru, India, on Monday, Aug. 15, 2022. India’s wholesale price inflation due Aug. 16 would show price gains easing to 13.75% in July, from 15.18% the previous month, according to a separate survey as of last Friday. Photographer: Samyukta Lakshmi/Bloomberg
A customer makes a purchase from a vendor in Bengaluru, India, on Monday, Aug. 15, 2022. India’s wholesale price inflation due Aug. 16 would show price gains easing to 13.75% in July, from 15.18% the previous month, according to a separate survey as of last Friday. Photographer: Samyukta Lakshmi/Bloomberg
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The wholesale price-based inflation declined to over two-year low of 3.85% in January on easing prices of manufactured items, fuel and power, even though food articles remained expensive.

This is the ninth straight month of decline in the rate of wholesale price-index (WPI) based inflation.

The WPI inflation was 4.73% in January and 13.43% in February, last year.

"Decline in the rate of inflation in February 2023 is primarily contributed by fall in prices of crude petroleum & natural gas, non-food articles, food products, minerals, computer, electronic & optical products, chemicals & chemical products, electrical equipment and motor vehicles, trailers & semi-trailers," the commerce and industry ministry said on Tuesday.

The 3.85% WPI inflation is the lowest since January 2021, when the rate of price rise on wholesale basis was 2.51%.

The decline in the rate of price rise was mainly due to a favourable base effect, economists said, adding that going forward, softening commodity prices would help ease WPI inflation further.

However, the future course of food inflation would depend on weather related conditions and timely monsoon.

Although inflation in manufactured items softened, in the case of food articles it rose to 3.81% in February, from 2.38% in January.

Inflation in pulses was 2.59%, while in vegetables was (-)21.53%. Inflation in oil seeds was (-)7.38% in February 2023.

Fuel and power basket inflation eased to 14.82%, from 15.15% in the preceding month. In manufactured products it was 1.94%, against 2.99% in January.

The deceleration in WPI comes in line with the dip in retail inflation, data of which was released on Monday. Consumer price index based retail inflation declined to 6.44% in February from 6.52% in January.

In its monetary policy review last month, the RBI had hiked the key interest rate by 25 basis points to 6.50%, saying core inflation still remains sticky.

Economists have predicted RBI to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points in the policy review next month.

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