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Bitcoin Extends Retreat From Record As ‘Bubble’ Talk Escalates

Bitcoin retreated from its latest record high amid an intensifying debate about whether the latest bull run in cryptocurrencies is evidence of speculative froth in global markets.

A Bitcoin logo on a mug inside the venue of the Paralelni Polis project, an organization combining art, social sciences and modern technology, in Prague, Czech Republic, on Friday, Jan. 5, 2024. Bitcoin has been on a tear ahead of an upcoming Jan. 10 deadline that could see the US Securities and Exchange Commission approve the first exchange-traded fund tied directly to the asset’s spot price. Photographer: Milan Jaros/Bloomberg
A Bitcoin logo on a mug inside the venue of the Paralelni Polis project, an organization combining art, social sciences and modern technology, in Prague, Czech Republic, on Friday, Jan. 5, 2024. Bitcoin has been on a tear ahead of an upcoming Jan. 10 deadline that could see the US Securities and Exchange Commission approve the first exchange-traded fund tied directly to the asset’s spot price. Photographer: Milan Jaros/Bloomberg

Bitcoin extended a retreat from its latest record high amid an intensifying debate about whether the bull run in cryptocurrencies is evidence of speculative froth in global markets.

The largest digital asset dropped as much as 7.2% on Friday before paring some of the slide to change hands at $67,725 as of 7:57 a.m. in New York. The token set a fresh all-time peak of almost $73,798 a day earlier. 

Both this year’s advance in Bitcoin and a gauge of the top 100 tokens — comprising the likes of Ether, BNB and Solana — moderated to less than 60%.

Bets on looser Federal Reserve monetary policy helped to power rallies in global stocks, bonds and crypto in the past few months, but investors are reassessing such wagers following evidence of persistent inflationary pressure in the US.

Trouble Ahead?

In a Bloomberg Television interview, Bank of America Corp. Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett said markets are showing the characteristics of a bubble in the record-setting surge by the technology sector’s so-called Magnificent Seven stocks and the all-time highs in crypto.

WATCH: Markets are showing characteristics of a bubble, according to Bank of America Corp. Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett.Source: Bloomberg
WATCH: Markets are showing characteristics of a bubble, according to Bank of America Corp. Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett.Source: Bloomberg

The comments feed into a live debate on Wall Street about whether many markets are vulnerable to a pullback. For Bitcoin, supporters point to about $12 billion of net inflows into dedicated US exchange-traded funds since their debut on Jan. 11 as a fundamental support, as well as an upcoming reduction in the token’s supply growth.

Sylvia To, head of token partnerships and research at crypto exchange Bullish, flagged a cooling in the net ETF inflows to approximately $133 million on Thursday. “Buyer exhaustion in the market could be a catalyst” for the Bitcoin selloff, she said.

A report showing a jump in US producer prices stoked worries that the Fed’s campaign to get inflation under control is far from over.

 Bloomberg
 Bloomberg

Bitcoin ‘Undercut’

Bitcoin was “undercut by the rise in US yields and the US dollar that followed the hot producer-price inflation data,” Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia Pty, wrote in a note.

The token’s stumble came alongside indications of increased circumspection in the derivatives market, which of late has been a lightning rod for bullish fervor.

Coinglass data show $668 million worth of bullish crypto wagers were liquidated in the past 24 hours — the most in about two weeks. The funding rate or cost for positions in Bitcoin perpetual futures — which are popular with speculators as they have no set expiry — slumped, according to CryptoQuant figures.

“We had a wave of long liquidations which has contributed to exacerbating the selloff,” said Dessislava Aubert, analyst at Kaiko. “Looking at the BTC cumulative volume delta over the past 24 hours, the selling pressure began to accumulate towards the end of Asian trading hours on Binance and Bybit before spreading to other markets.”

 CryptoQuant
 CryptoQuant

“We would still qualify this market activity as, ‘consolidating in the range of all-time highs.”’ said Stephane Ouellette, chief executive of FRNT Financial. “It’s not unusual in crypto to see such volatility around major pivot points.”  

--With assistance from Ryan Weeks.

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