U.S. Jobless Claims Drop By Most Since July, Led By New York
Initial unemployment claims decreased by 20,000 to 192,000 in the week ended March 11.
(Bloomberg) -- Applications for US unemployment benefits fell last week by the most since July, unwinding most of the prior week’s jump as claims in New York plunged.
Initial unemployment claims decreased by 20,000 to 192,000 in the week ended March 11, Labor Department data showed Thursday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for 205,000 applications.
Continuing claims, which include people who have received unemployment benefits for a week or more, fell by 29,000 to 1.68 million in the week ended March 4. Economists watch this measure closely to discern how hard it is for people to find work after losing their job.
On an unadjusted basis, claims fell to 217,444 as New York unwound most of its jump from the prior week, which could have been due to school holidays. In that period, applications also surged in California, where severe weather may have played a factor.
The data show continued strength in an extremely tight labor market, marked by robust job creation, millions of openings and low unemployment. However, several measures of wage growth are slowing and largely still lag inflation, which could be starting to weigh on spending. And layoffs at companies like Meta Platforms Inc. keep piling up.
What Bloomberg Economics Says...
“Jobless claims fell back below 200k last week but we still expect layoffs to rise sharply ahead, spreading from tech and finance to other sectors. Many businesses have planned for a downturn this year, and layoff announcements will rise in the face of growing recessionary risks.”
—Eliza Winger, economist
For the full note, read here
When taken with the recent turmoil in the banking sector driven by Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse Group AG, it makes for a challenging backdrop for the Federal Reserve ahead of its policy meeting next week.
The four-week moving average in initial claims, which smooths out some of the volatility in the weekly data, edged down to 196,500.
--With assistance from and .
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