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Russian Invasion Prompts CME To Consider New Wheat Futures

CME is considering new wheat futures as traders shy away from the existing Black Sea contract.

Wheat kernels in a field during a harvest on a farm in Rahma Village, Fayoum, Egypt, on Thursday, May 19, 2022. One of the world's biggest wheat importers, Egypt is wrestling with the impact of Russia’s invasion on Ukraine on supplies.
Wheat kernels in a field during a harvest on a farm in Rahma Village, Fayoum, Egypt, on Thursday, May 19, 2022. One of the world's biggest wheat importers, Egypt is wrestling with the impact of Russia’s invasion on Ukraine on supplies.

CME Group Inc. is considering new wheat futures as traders shy away from the existing Black Sea contract due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, according to people familiar with the matter.

The Chicago-based bourse, one of the world’s largest derivative exchanges, has been consulting with traders and brokers on starting a contract for Romanian wheat, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. No final decision has been made and talks may not result in a new product, they said.

The move comes after interest in the current Black Sea contract -- based on the price of Russian wheat -- tumbled following the invasion of Ukraine in February. While the existing futures are cash settled, many grain traders and agricultural processors have steered clear of any deals involving Russian products.

Russian Invasion Prompts CME To Consider New Wheat Futures

The new Romanian contract would be cash settled and based on price assessments by S&P Global Platts, the people said. Negotiations are at early stages, and recent news of the first grain shipment to sail from Ukrainian ports earlier this week may help provide relief to market participants who would prefer to stick to the existing contract. 

A spokeswoman for CME declined to comment.

CME’s Black Sea wheat futures -- launched in 2017 -- was the benchmark to hedge grain from the region until the war broke out, but the number of outstanding contracts plunged after Russia’s invasion disrupted flows from Europe’s breadbasket. The contract is cash settled and based on Platts pricing for Russian wheat loaded at the port of Novorossiysk. 

This isn’t the first time CME faces difficulties with Black Sea grain futures. The bourse introduced a physically delivered contract in 2012, only to scrap it in 2019 after it failed to gain traction. Political instability in the Black Sea region still makes it hard to launch contracts in the region. Russia invaded Crimea in 2014 and has now launched a full-fledged war against Ukraine. 

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